Robert P. Murphy

Robert P. Murphy

Robert P. Murphy is a Senior Fellow with the Mises Institute. He is the author of many books. His latest is Contra Krugman: Smashing the Errors of America's Most Famous Keynesian. His other works include Chaos Theory, Lessons for the Young Economist, and Choice: Cooperation, Enterprise, and Human Action (Independent Institute, 2015) which is a modern distillation of the essentials of Mises's thought for the layperson. Murphy is co-host, with Tom Woods, of the popular podcast Contra Krugman, which is a weekly refutation of Paul Krugman's New York Times column. He is also host of The Bob Murphy Show.

Articles by Robert P. Murphy

Murphy Gives Post-Game Analysis of ZeroHedge Dollar Debate

On February 13, 2024, Bob participated (with Jim Rickards, Brent Johnson, and Michael Every) in a ZeroHedge debate on the fate of the USD. In this episode of the Human Action podcast, Bob highlights some of the key issues and explains why he thinks his side won.

Murphy Gives Post-Game Analysis of ZeroHedge Dollar Debate

Video of Murphy Gives Post-Game Analysis of ZeroHedge Dollar Debate

The ZeroHedge Debate: Mises.org/HAP435a
Brent Johnson’s Milkshake Theory: Mises.org/HAP435b
Egert’s Article on the Public Debt Threshold: Mises.org/HAP435c
Bob’s Article on the Latest CBO Federal Debt Report: Mises.org/HAP435d
Human Action Podcast listeners can get a free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann’s How Inflation Destroys Civilization: Mises.org/HAPodFree

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Responding to James Lindsay’s Critique of “National Divorce”

Bob goes solo to give a point-by-point rebuttal to James Lindsay’s recent essay arguing that "national divorce means national suicide." Bob argues that James employs inconsistent claims and ignores the tremendous economic boon to an independent Texas.
James Lindsay’s Article "National Divorce is National Suicide": Mises.org/HAP434a
Bob’s Book "Common Sense: The Case for an Independent Texas": Mises.org/HAP434b
AntiWar.com Article on Gaza: Mises.org/HAP434c
Scott Horton’s Interview with Arnon Soffer: Mises.org/HAP434d
 
Join Tom DiLorenzo, Joe Salerno, and Patrick Newman in Tampa on February 17: Mises.org/Tampa2024Use code "Action24" for 15% off admission.
 
Human Action Podcast listeners can get a free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann’s How Inflation Destroys Civilization: Mises.org/HAPodFree

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Are Capital Gains Income? The Connection with Mises’s Calculation Problem

Bob goes solo to discuss a recent Twitter controversy, in which opponents of a proposed tax argued that unrealized capital gains couldn’t possibly be a form of income. Bob cites both Austrian theory and corporate accounting practice to respond that all capital gains are income, which is not to say that they ought to be taxed. The dispute is important because understanding the definition of "income" sheds light on the role of market prices in guiding entrepreneurial action.
Bob Talks to David Schizer on the Moore Ruling: Mises.org/HAP431a
Bob’s Econlib Article on Capital and Income: Mises.org/HAP431b
 
Join Tom DiLorenzo, Joe Salerno, and Patrick Newman in Tampa on February 17: Mises.org/Tampa2024Use code "Action24" for 15% off admission.
 
Human Action Podcast listeners can get a free copy

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Dean Baker Debates Bob Murphy on Recession Outlook

On a recent installment of the Pynx debate series, Bob had a friendly debate with Dean Baker on a soft or hard landing in 2024. In this episode of the Human Action Podcast, Bob comments on the key disputes, underlying the differences between the Austrian and Keynesian frameworks.
Bob’s Debate with Dean Baker: Mises.org/HAP427a
Bob’s Paper on the Inverted Yield Curve: Mises.org/HAP427b
 
Join Tom DiLorenzo, Joe Salerno, and Patrick Newman in Tampa on February 17: Mises.org/Tampa2024Use code "Action24" for 15% off admission.
Human Action Podcast listeners can get a free copy of Murray Rothbard’s Anatomy of the State: Mises.org/HAPodFree

Dean Baker Debates Bob Murphy on Recession Outlook

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The Fed and the Fate of the Dollar

Recorded at the Mises Circle in Fort Myers, Florida, 4 November 2023.
Special thanks to Murray and Florence M. Sabrin for making this event possible.
Read Bob’s book Understanding Money Mechanics: Mises.org/Mechanics

The Fed and the Fate of the Dollar | Bob Murphy

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Responding to Yaron Brook’s Critique of Anarcho-Capitalism

Recently Yaron Brook and Bryan Caplan debated the merits of anarchism at the Soho Forum. Bob critiques Brook’s opening statement.

The Soho Forum Debate: Mises.org/HAP419a
Bob’s Book on Market Anarchy, Chaos Theory: Mises.org/HAP419b
Rothbard’s Book on Natural Rights and the State, For a New Liberty: Mises.org/HAP419c
Hans-Herman Hoppe’s Book on Private Defense, The Private Production of Defense: Mises.org/HAP419d

Responding to Yaron Brook’s Critique of Anarcho-Capitalism

Video of Responding to Yaron Brook's Critique of Anarcho-Capitalism

Join us in Fort Myers on November 4 to cut through the campaign talking points and offer an uncompromising look at what is coming next. Use Code "FL2023" for $10 off admission: Mises.org/FL23
Human

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Making Money While Making Sense of Chaos: Understanding the World of the Traders

Review of Chaos Kings: How Wall Street Traders Make Billions in the New Age of Crisis
Scott Patterson
New York: Scribner, 2023; 293 pages
Scott Patterson has delivered an unusual book. At least to this reader, it produced the same effect as watching a Black Mirror episode where you think you know where the story is heading, then suddenly all of your moorings go out the window in a most unpleasant fashion. In the case of Chaos Kings, the book starts out as an interesting and well-paced biographical treatment of Mark Spitznagel and Nassim Taleb, developers of a tail-hedging approach to financial risk. Patterson is a veteran Wall Street Journal reporter, and his devotion to detailing a specific trade that Taleb had made on out-of-the-money currency options makes it appear that this will be a

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Why Plea Deals Are a Miscarriage of Justice

Lawyers for two of the Proud Boys convicted for their role in the January 6 assault on the Capitol are filing appeals claiming that they are being subject to a "trial tax," being punished for rejecting a plea deal offer. Bob uses the occasion to explain his long-standing objection to plea deals.
Article on the ‘Trail Tax’ Imposed on the Proud Boys: Mises.org/HAP413a
Ex-Proud Boys Leader Sentenced Despite Not Being in Washington on Jan. 6th: Mises.org/HAP413b
Twitter Thread on Plea Deals and Justice: Mises.org/HAP413c

Why Plea Deals Are a Miscarriage of Justice

Video of Why Plea Deals Are a Miscarriage of Justice

Join us in Fort Myers on November 4 to cut through the campaign talking points and offer an uncompromising look at what is coming

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MMT’s Warren Mosler Argues Fed Rate Hikes Cause Growth and Inflation

Bob walks through a recent interview of MMT champion Warren Mosler, in which he claims that Fed rate hikes lead to larger government interest expenses and hence support economic growth and inflation. Bob presents both theoretical and empirical evidence against Mosler’s claims.

MMT’s Warren Mosler Argues Fed Rate Hikes Cause Growth and Inflation

Video of MMT's Warren Mosler Argues Fed Rate Hikes Cause Growth and Inflation

Bob’s Debate with Warren Mosler: Mises.org/HAP403a
Bob’s Review of Stephanie Kelton: Mises.org/HAP403b
Bob’s EconLib  Article on Austerity: Mises.org/HAP403c
Technical Article on Why the Treasury Can’t Overdraft: Mises.org/HAP403d
 
 
Join us in Nashville on September 23rd for a no-holds-barred discussion against the

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Why ChatGPT Failed an Economics Exam

University of Rochester economist Steve Landsburg joins Bob to discuss the abysmal performance of ChatGPT on his undergraduate exam. They also discuss the importance of market prices in guiding behavior and the unexpected problems with the government handing out "free" goodies.
Bob’s article "Superman Needs an Agent:"  Mises.org/HAP400a
Steven’s Book The Armchair Economist: Mises.org/HAP400b
More Economic brainteasers: Mises.org/HAP400c

Why ChatGPT Failed an Economics Exam

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It’s Not Paranoid to Worry about a Central Bank Digital Currency

Contrary to Krugman, DeSantis and others warning about a CBDC aren’t being paranoid: they are simply drawing the obvious conclusions from history.

Original Article: "It’s Not Paranoid to Worry about a Central Bank Digital Currency"
This Audio Mises Wire is generously sponsored by Christopher Condon.

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It’s Not Paranoid to Worry about a Central Bank Digital Currency

In a recent NYT column, economist Paul Krugman mocks Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who warned that a central bank digital currency (CBDC) would give the government too much power over Americans. Specifically, DeSantis argued that the feds could use a CBDC to further implement the “woke” agenda, penalizing Floridians if they bought too much gas or guns.
Human Action Podcast: Krugman Says It’s Paranoid to Worry About a Fed Digital Currency with Robert Murphy and Jonathan Newman
Krugman ridiculed the very notion that a CBDC might threaten civil liberties:
If this sounds crazy, that’s because it is. I have no idea whether DeSantis believes any of it, or even knows what a central bank digital currency is or what it would do (more on that later). And it’s possible that he’s taking this stand

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The Inverted Yield Curve and Recession

The “yield curve” refers to a graph showing the relationship between the maturity length of bonds—such as one month, three months, one year, five years, twenty years, etc.—plotted on the x axis, and the yield (or interest rate) plotted on the y axis.1

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Jon Stewart Asks Great Questions of Federal Reserve Chief

In a recent episode of “The Problem With Jon Stewart,” the former Daily Show host asks former president of the Kansas City Fed Thomas Hoenig why the Fed couldn’t have bailed out homeowners, or just “quantitative ease” away the Treasury’s debt. Hoenig gives muddy answers, so Bob tries to clarify.

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Keynesians and Market Monetarists Didn’t See Inflation Coming

The government’s latest report puts the twelve-month official consumer price inflation rate at 8.5 percent, the highest since December 1981:

As economists debate the causes of, and cure for, this price inflation, it’s worth recounting which schools of thought saw it coming. Although individuals can be nuanced, generally speaking the Austrians have been warning that the Fed’s reckless policies threaten the dollar. In contrast, as I will document in this article, two of the leaders of the Keynesian and market monetarist schools didn’t see this coming at all.
My Worst Professional Mistake
Before diving into it, I need to address a problem: my hands-down worst professional mistake occurred during the early years of the Fed’s “QE” (quantitative easing) programs, when I made bets on (consumer

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Behind Klaus Schwab, the World Economic Forum, and the Great Reset: Part 1

Bob starts a series looking into Klaus Schwab, founder of the World Economic Forum and, along with Prince Charles, proponent of the “Great Reset.” 

Mentioned in the Episode and Other Links of Interest:
Klaus Schwab and Prince Charles promoting the “Great Reset”The World Economic Forum’s page on the Great ResetAn example of a session from the WEF’s Davos Agenda 2021 conferenceThe WEF’s bio for its founder, Klaus SchwabSchwab’s books The Fourth Industrial Revolution and Covid-19 and the Great ResetThe video of Schwab explaining his connection to KissingerThe “red pill” documentary Wake Up CallMurphy’s new book from the Mises Institute, Understanding Money Mechanics​For more information, see BobMurphyShow.com. The Bob Murphy Show is also available on Apple Podcasts, Google

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Mark Spitznagel Teaches the Economists How to Invest

Bob reviews Mark Spitznagel’s latest book, Safe Haven: Investing for Financial Storms, on which he was a consultant. Bob explains that Spitznagel rejects the alleged dichotomy between risk and return, and then gives a numerical example to illustrate the two schools of thought.

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“They Said What?!” John Lennon edition

Bob unveils a new recurring series, in which he gives the context of infamous quotations. In this episode, he covers two allegedly shocking quotes from John Lennon, John Maynard Keynes’ "in the long run we’re all dead," Trump on Nazis being very fine people, Dan Quayle misspelling potato, Obama’s "you didn’t build that," and Bohm-Bawerk on Karl Marx.

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The Fed’s Policies since the 2020 Coronavirus Panic

Total Assets Held by the Federal Reserve, 2004 - 2020

In chapter 7 we summarized some of the major changes in how central banks have operated since the 2008 financial crisis. In the present chapter, we detail some of the even more recent changes in Federal Reserve operations since the onset of the coronavirus panic in March 2020.

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What Really Happened With the Texas Power Grid

[unable to retrieve full-text content]Since the deep freeze in February caused millions of Texas homes to lose their power, partisans have been fighting over the blame. The governor blamed wind turbines and the green agenda, whereas Paul Krugman said the fault was with natural gas. Bob shows the numbers; natural gas was to blame only in the sense that nobody expected wind to be useful during a winter crisis.

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Nonviolent Solutions to Social Problems

Bob discusses three separate items all related to nonviolence: (1) Gene Sharp’s work, (2) Bob’s old dream of how to topple a tyrant, and (3) the winners of the Louis CK contest.

Mentioned in the Episode and Other Links of Interest:
Gene Sharp’s book, From Dictatorship to DemocracyThe trailer for the documentary “How to Start a Revolution”Sharp’s list of 198 methods of nonviolent actionThe original Louis CK clip that inspired Bob’s contestFor more information, see BobMurphyShow.com. The Bob Murphy Show is also available on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, Spotify, and via RSS.

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Econtradictions: Bob Discusses Free Trade, Welfare Benefits, Price Gouging, and Utility Theory

Audio Mises Wire

Bob unveils a new series in which he explains and then evaluates apparent contradictions in the way free-market libertarians handle certain issues.

Mentioned in the Episode and Other Links of Interest:
Bastiat’s “Petition of the Candlemakers”Bob’s article on price gougingFor more information, see BobMurphyShow.com. The Bob Murphy Show is also available on iTunes, Stitcher, Spotify, and via RSS.

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A Critique of the Labor Theory of Value

Before proceeding, we should be clear on what an economic theory of value is supposed to do: its task is simply to explain the exchange value of particular goods and services. That is, an economic theory of value must explain why someone selling good X can receive x berries in exchange for it, whereas someone selling good Y will only find someone willing to give up y berries in exchange for his good (where y< x).

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Hayek’s Plan for Private Money

The most famous Austrian economist is 1974 Nobel laureate Friedrich Hayek. Because of his moderate views excusing state interventions in various circumstances, hardcore Rothbardians tend to regard Hayek as less than pure in many areas.

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MMT Follow-up: A Framework for Money, Inflation, and Debt

As a follow-up to his discussion on MMT with Rohan Grey (in ep. 130), Bob goes solo to explain the basic cash balance framework for thinking about money, inflation, and debt. Specifically, Bob will explain why he thinks it’s far more important to know how the government finances a deficit rather than knowing what it spends the money on.

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A Review of Stephanie Kelton’s The Deficit Myth

The good news is that Stephanie Kelton has written a book on MMT that is very readable and will strike many readers as persuasive and clever. The bad news is that Stephanie Kelton has written a book on MMT that is very readable and will strike many readers as persuasive and clever.

Narrated by the author. 
Original Article: "A Review of Stephanie Kelton’s The Deficit Myth".

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Keynesians on the Cause of, and Cure for, Depressions

[This article is part of the Understanding Money Mechanics series, by Robert P. Murphy. The series will be published as a book in late 2020.] In chapter 8 we presented Ludwig von Mises’s explanation of how bank credit expansion causes the boom-bust cycle, what is now known as Austrian business cycle theory. However, the reigning view today in both academia and the popular media is the Keynesian explanation, derived from John Maynard Keynes’s famous 1936 book The General Theory.

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Central Bankers Gone Wild: It’s a New Era at the Fed

Editor’s Note: We keep hearing from the Fed’s defenders that the current spate of new stimulus and bailouts from the central bank are really not a big deal and are all very prudent and moderate. I asked Senior Fellow Bob Murphy to provide some much needed perspective.

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Ludwig von Mises & “Circulation Credit” Theory of the Trade Cycle

[This article is part of the Understanding Money Mechanics series, by Robert P. Murphy. The series will be published as a book in late 2020.] Starting with Carl Menger’s undisputed role in the “marginal revolution,” which ushered in subjective value theory, the Austrian school has made important contributions that have been absorbed into standard economic theory.

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Oren Cass and the Conservative Critique of Pure Laissez-Faire

Oren Cass is the executive director of American Compass (AmericanCompass.org), a conservative think tank that stresses the importance of family and domestic industry, in opposition to a singleminded devotion to economic efficiency. Cass was previously a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research, and was the domestic policy director for Mitt Romney’s 2012 presidential campaign.

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The Fed&rsquo;s Massive Injection of “Liquidity” Also Benefits Uncle Sam

There’s a lot to be said regarding the Fed’s surprise announcements—including its Sunday surprise of $700 billion in renewed QE and the complete elimination of all reserve requirements for banks—but here let me just focus on one element: the tendency for Fed officials and all the pundits to treat injections of “liquidity” as if they don’t count as much when distorting the economy.

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The “Market Monetarists” and NGDP Targeting

[This article is part of the Understanding Money Mechanics series, by Robert P. Murphy. The series will be published as a book in late 2020.] In addition to the Keynesian perspective (covered in chapter 14), a relatively new challenge to the Austrian framework comes from the “market monetarists” and their endorsement of a central bank policy of “level targeting” of nominal gross domestic product (sometimes abbreviated as NGDPLT1).

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Central Banking since the 2008 Financial Crisis

[This article is part of the Understanding Money Mechanics series, by Robert P. Murphy. The series will be published as a book in late 2020.] In chapter 5 we reviewed the textbook analysis of how a central bank buys government debt in “open market operations” to add reserves to the banking system, with which commercial banks can then advance loans to their own customers.

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Why Progressives Are Anti-Vaxxers When It Comes to the Alt Right

Bob Murphy first explains a standard progressive viewpoint when it comes to dealing with issues like virus outbreaks, underage drinking, and prostitution. Yet, when it comes to dealing with people whose views they abhor, the progressives suddenly are “zero tolerance” and ignore the mechanisms they point to for the other issues.

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The History and Structure of the Federal Reserve System

[This article is part of the Understanding Money Mechanics series, by Robert P. Murphy. The series will be published as a book in late 2020.] This chapter will provide a brief sketch of the historical context in which the Federal Reserve was founded, summarize some of the major changes to the Fed’s institutional structure and mandate over the years, and end with a snapshot of the Fed’s current governing structure.

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