Now that I've studied the article that inspired Robin's recent bet, I'm completely flabbergasted by his reaction. Here's the key figure in the original paper, showing how respondents ranked the mentality of thirteen characters.The Experience factor explains 88% of the variance; Agency comes in a remote second, with 8% of the variance. And on the Experience factor, the robot is virtually at 0. Apparently most people (correctly, in my view) don't think he's conscious at all.Yet here's how Robin reads the results. He's in blockquotes; my commentary isn't.I'm also pretty sure that while the "robot" in the study was rated low on experience, that was because it was rated low on capacities like for pain,
Bryan Caplan considers the following as important: Behavioral Economics and Rationality
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