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Henderson and Hooper on Flawed Climate Models

Summary:
If someone with a hand-held stopwatch tells you that a runner cut his time by 0.00005 seconds, you should be skeptical. If someone with a climate model tells you that a 0.036 Wm-2 CO2 signal can be detected within an environment of 150 Wm-2 error, you should be just as skeptical. This is from David R. Henderson and Charles L. Hooper, "Flawed Climate Models," Defining Ideas, April 4, 2017. The whole thing, which is not long, is worth reading.

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If someone with a hand-held stopwatch tells you that a runner cut his time by 0.00005 seconds, you should be skeptical. If someone with a climate model tells you that a 0.036 Wm-2 CO2 signal can be detected within an environment of 150 Wm-2 error, you should be just as skeptical.
This is from David R. Henderson and Charles L. Hooper, "Flawed Climate Models," Defining Ideas, April 4, 2017.

The whole thing, which is not long, is worth reading.

David Henderson
David Henderson is a British economist. He was the Head of the Economics and Statistics Department at the OECD in 1984–1992. Before that he worked as an academic economist in Britain, first at Oxford (Fellow of Lincoln College) and later at University College London (Professor of Economics, 1975–1983); as a British civil servant (first as an Economic Advisor in HM Treasury, and later as Chief Economist in the Ministry of Aviation); and as a staff member of the World Bank (1969–1975). In 1985 he gave the BBC Reith Lectures, which were published in the book Innocence and Design: The Influence of Economic Ideas on Policy (Blackwell, 1986).

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