Tuesday , May 21 2019
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Elizabeth Warren Bet Update

Summary:
Since Elizabeth Warren has announced her Presidential candidacy, my 2017 Warren bet with my friend Ben Haller has officially activated.  He’s betting against my 0 that she wins the Presidency.  When we made the bet, betting markets put her odds at 7.9%, but now they’re down to a measly 3.1%. Of course, back in 2015 I probably would have given Trump about a 3.1% of winning, too…

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Since Elizabeth Warren has announced her Presidential candidacy, my 2017 Warren bet with my friend Ben Haller has officially activated.  He’s betting $50 against my $100 that she wins the Presidency.  When we made the bet, betting markets put her odds at 7.9%, but now they’re down to a measly 3.1%.

Of course, back in 2015 I probably would have given Trump about a 3.1% of winning, too…

Bryan Caplan
Bryan Caplan is Professor of Economics at George Mason University and Senior Scholar at the Mercatus Center. He has published in the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Wall Street Journal, the American Economic Review, the Economic Journal, the Journal of Law and Economics, and Intelligence, and has appeared on 20/20, FoxNews, and C-SPAN. Bryan Caplan blogs on EconLog.

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