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Crescat’s Macro Economic Case for Gold

Summary:
Michael Oliver and Quinton Hennigh return while Kevin Smith and Otavio “Tavi” Costa visit for the first time on this week’s program. At a time in Western culture when individuals are told to stop thinking and simply follow orders, Kevin and Tavi have demonstrated that if you want to avoid following the lemmings into the sea, using your God given intelligence can allow you to rise far above the norm. Starting with Kevin and his wife Carleu Smith in 1992, the legacy of a highly profitable Crescat Capital began. In 2013 Tavi, another individual thinker, joined Crescat where he has built the company’s macro-economic model. Kevin and Tavi explain the company’s investment philosophy and why their macroeconomic model demands investing in gold exploration companies. Not surprisingly, the

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Michael Oliver and Quinton Hennigh return while Kevin Smith and Otavio “Tavi” Costa visit for the first time on this week’s program.

At a time in Western culture when individuals are told to stop thinking and simply follow orders, Kevin and Tavi have demonstrated that if you want to avoid following the lemmings into the sea, using your God given intelligence can allow you to rise far above the norm. Starting with Kevin and his wife Carleu Smith in 1992, the legacy of a highly profitable Crescat Capital began. In 2013 Tavi, another individual thinker, joined Crescat where he has built the company’s macro-economic model. Kevin and Tavi explain the company’s investment philosophy and why their macroeconomic model demands investing in gold exploration companies.

Not surprisingly, the independent thinking of Crescat’s team was attracted to the skills of another exceptionally talented and perhaps the most out-of-the box thinking geologist in the world, Dr. Quinton Hennigh, who has recently joined Crescat as the company’s geologic & technical director. Quinton also joined me to tell us of exciting developments for Eskay Mining, a company that appears to be onto a major precious metals rich volcanic massive sulfide discovery in British Columbia. Last but not least, Michael share his latest thoughts on key markets that stem from his proprietary structure and momentum models. 

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Crescat’s Macro Economic Case for GoldKevin Smith, CFA, is the Founder and CIO of Crescat Capital. He has been managing investment portfolios since 1992, a career spanning multiple business cycles. Kevin has been the lead Portfolio Manager of Crescat’s five investment strategies since their respective inceptions. He is the creator of Crescat’s firmwide global macro investment process and systematic equity valuation model. Prior to founding Crescat, he worked as a Wealth Advisor with Kidder Peabody. He earned an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business with a specialization in Finance and a concentration in Statistics. Born and raised in the San Francisco Bay Area, he received a bachelor’s degree in Economics and German studies from Stanford University. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation.

Crescat’s Macro Economic Case for GoldOtavio (“Tavi”) Costa is a Member and Portfolio Manager at Crescat Capital and has been with the firm since 2013. He built Crescat’s macro model that identifies the current stage of the US economic cycle through a combination of 16 factors. His research has been featured in financial publications such as Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, CCN, Financial Post, The Globe and Mail, Real Vision, and Reuters. Tavi is a native of São Paulo, Brazil and is fluent in Portuguese, Spanish, and English. Before joining Crescat, he worked with the underwriting of financial products and in international business at Braservice, a large logistics company in Brazil. Tavi graduated cum laude from Lindenwood University in St. Louis with a B.A. degree in Business Administration with an emphasis in Finance and a minor in Spanish. Tavi played NCAA Division 1 tennis for Liberty University.

Crescat’s Macro Economic Case for GoldDr. Quinton Hennigh is an economic geologist with 25 years of exploration experience, mainly gold related.  Early in his career, he explored for major mining firms including Homestake Mining Company, Newcrest Mining Ltd and Newmont Mining Corporation.  Dr. Hennigh joined the junior mining sector in 2007 and has been involved with a number of Canadian-listed gold companies including Gold Canyon Resources where he led exploration at the Springpole alkaline gold project near Red Lake Ontario, a 5-million ounce gold asset that was sold to First Mining Gold.  In 2010, Dr. Hennigh helped start Novo Resources, now a gold producer, by assembling its Australian exploration portfolio. He is Geologic and Technical Advisor to Crescat Capital. Dr. Hennigh obtained a Ph.D. in Geology/Geochemistry from the Colorado School of Mines.

Crescat’s Macro Economic Case for GoldMichael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton’s International Commodity Division, NYC. He studied under David Johnson, head of Hutton’s Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX.

In the 1980’s Oliver began to develop his own momentum-based method of technical analysis. In 1987 Oliver, along with his futures client accounts (Oliver had trading POA) technically anticipated and captured the Crash. Oliver began to realize that his emergent momentum-structural-based tools should be further developed into a full analytic methodology.

In 1992 he was asked by the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank’s Trust Department to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year Oliver shifted from brokerage to full-time technical research. MSA has provided its proprietary technical research services to financial and asset management clients continually since 1992. Oliver is the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism. 

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