Tag Archive: Fiscal Union

Italian Euro Exit: Why it Might Come in some Years and Why it Will Help the Euro Zone and Italy

Italy has three options: 1. exit the euro zone and devalue the currency; 2. remain in the euro zone and devalue salaries. 3. go for Japan-like decades-long slow growth with stagnating wages, but also with falling inflation and (positive news!) falling bond yields.

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German Economists and Merkel, the Implicit Followers of the Gold Standard

With ECB's OMT & "conditionality", that requires austerity and implicitly reduction of salaries in European periphery, Merkel & German economists have created consequences similar to a gold-standard.

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Eurobonds, fiscal or banking union are all pure utopia

2012-08-31

by George Dorgan

2012-08-31

Germany’s stance in the euro crisis: More than ESM will not be possible for many years updated on August 31, 2012 German politicians and the German Bundesbank believe that the Euro crisis can be only solved by supply side reforms as formulated in the Euro Plus Pact, reforms that were already successfully introduced during the Thatcher/Reagan era in the …

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The End of ECB Rate Cuts or Draghi against Weidmann to be Continued..

2012-08-30

by George Dorgan

2012-08-30

Even in the unlikely case of a fiscal union, the conflict “Draghi against Weidmann”, between the ECB and the Bundesbank will continue for years. The ECB mandate and european inflation figures do not allow for excessive ECB rate cuts or for state financing via the printing press, but Draghi wants to help his struggling …

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8) Euro Crisis and Euro Macro

We are currently looking for a curator that takes over the euro macro category. The Euro Crisis and its Reasons, details and chronology, German economists ,Eurobonds, fiscal or banking union,Who Says No to Austerity, Says Yes to the Northern Euro Ways to the Northern Euro

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Otmar Issing’s new book on the euro crisis

2012-08-10

by George Dorgan

2012-08-10

We well remember when the über-bailouter of the Financial Times Wolfgang Münchau claimed that except some old economy professors like Otmar Issing nobody in Germany would like to abolish the euro. According to Münchau the euro can be saved only via a fiscal and a banking union. The response to Münchau’s post could be … Continue reading...

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Guest Post: Six Reasons Why Italy May Exit the Euro Before Spain; Ultimate Occupy Movement

2012-07-24

by George Dorgan

2012-07-24

Six Reasons Why Italy May Exit Before Spain 1) Rise of the Five Star Movement 2) 44% of Italians view the euro negatively, only 30% favorably. That is biggest negative spread in the eurozone. In Spain more view the euro positively than negative, albeit by a small 4 percentage point spread.

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Only 17% of German voters in favor of Eurobonds

2012-07-04

by George Dorgan

2012-07-04

Voters are strongly against many other European utopias The newest poll of the Forsa institute, here in the left-wing Stern and the conservative Welt, shows that Germans are strongly against Eurobonds and many more European “utopias”, as we called it. The German chancellor Angela Merkel recently connected her life with the fulfillment of the voters wish to …

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Wolfgang Münchau, FT: Merkel was the winner of the Euro summit

2012-07-02

by George Dorgan

2012-07-02

Wolfgang Münchau endorsed many of our arguments Wolfgang Münchau, Financial Times, has endorsed many of our arguments of our Friday's opinion about the Euro summit where we stated that there was nothing really new. Münchau even claims that "The real victor in Brussels was Merkel."

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At the Euro summit there was nothing really new. What was the party about ?

2012-06-29

by George Dorgan

2012-06-29

At the euro summit today there was essentially nothing what was really surprising. We wonder what markets are so excited about.

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Can Merkel stop the Eurobonds ? German “Der Focus” on Eurobonds

2012-06-24

by George Dorgan

2012-06-24

The German "Der Focus",one of the most successful weekly magazines, titles "Can Merkel stop the Eurobonds ?" Der Focus claims that Eurobonds have the following issues:

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Eurobonds, fiscal union or banking union are all pure utopia

Eurobonds are light years away.Germany wants the following order: 1) Euro Plus Pact 2) Fiscal Compact 3) ESM 4) Political union 5) Fiscal union 6) Eurobonds

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History repeats: Bismarck & the customs union with Austria-Hungary (in German)

The Northern Euro introduction: A retrospective from the year 2030

2012-05-20

by George Dorgan

2012-05-20

A retrospective from the year 2030 on two decades of failed european integration policy and 10 years of successful disintegration policy The following essay shows that currency regimes come and go over the time. Nothing is stable with the time, especially the use of a currency. What has never happened in history is the use …

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Why the Euro Crisis may last another 15 years

2012-03-25

by George Dorgan

2012-03-25

home prices ireland, spain, uk, france, usa, germany, switzerland 1990-2008

Abstract In the following article we will explain which types of crisis occur in the euro area and will argue that this crisis will last at least another fifteen years. (1) Competitiveness crisis: Before the euro introduction peripheral countries regularly saw their currency depreciate against the German Mark and helped them to increase their competitiveness. …

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