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Tag Archives: Risk and Safety

Some Links

Jay Bhattacharya and Sunetra Gupta – two of the three authors of the Great Barrington Declaration – make a plea in today’s Wall Street Journal for an end to the Covid-19 lockdowns. A slice: Covid-19 is thus especially deadly for the old and others with chronic conditions. But the lockdowns are deadly as well. The harms include plummeting childhood vaccination, worse cardiovascular disease outcomes, and less cancer screening, to name a few. It’s impossible to quantify the total deaths...

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To Repeat: Covid-19 Poses No Serious Risk to Young Adults

Here’s another letter to Nick Horn: Mr. Horn: Thanks for your follow-up letter in which you write that I, in this post, “totally miss the point of the New York Times article which DOES show positive correlation between covid and excess death of people between 25 and 44.  These are real.” You conclude that I “callously discount them.” Of course these deaths are real. But this reality doesn’t prove the op-ed authors’ contention that Covid poses serious risks to persons in that age group....

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Covid-19 Is Indeed Relatively Harmless for Younger Adults

Here’s a letter to the New York Times: Editor: Jeremy Samuel Faust’s, Harlan Krumholz’s, and Rochelle Walensky’s op-ed “People Thought Covid-19 Was Relatively Harmless for Younger Adults. They Were Wrong.” (Dec. 16) is a prime example of how to convey a false impression by painting an incomplete picture Here’s the authors’ core claim: “Young adults are dying at historic rates. In research published on Wednesday in the Journal of the American Medical Association, we found that among U.S....

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In Defense of the Morality of Lockdown Opposition

Here’s a letter to the first commenter on my recent letter to Tyler: Mr. Wise: Commenting critically on my recent open letter to Tyler Cowen you describe my opposition to Covid-19 lockdowns as springing from an “anarchist/libertarian fantasy.” This description is inaccurate. One doesn’t have to be an anarchist to oppose lockdowns. In fact, one doesn’t even have to be a libertarian. Two of the three co-authors of the Great Barrington Declaration are on the political left, while the third...

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Some Covid Links

Joakim Book is understandably pessimistic about how humanity’s hysterical reaction to Covid-19 – about how humanity’s shamefully gullible acceptance of the use of massive arbitrary power – will end. A slice: We are watching, in real time, the destruction of our own civilization. In the history books, events like these seem so quick and inevitable, following one upon the other until rescue from madness is too late. With the benefit of hindsight that plagues most history, this makes...

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 587 of the 5th edition (2015) of the great Thomas Sowell’s Basic Economics: Few things have saved as many lives as simply the growth of wealth. DBx: Yes – and, hence, few things are as responsible for taking as many lives as simply those interventions that stymie the growth of wealth. The world has no shortage of such interventions. High taxes, protectionism, industrial policy, minimum-wage legislation, immigration restrictions – the list is long. But in 2020 there was...

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Bonus Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 74 of the late Hans Rosling’s wonderful 2018 book, Factfulness (original emphasis): Good news is not news. Good news is almost never reported. So news is almost always bad…. More news does not equal more suffering. More bad news is sometimes due to better surveillance of suffering, not a worsening world. Comments

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Brilliant Essay on Covid Derangement Syndrome

From Ivor Cummins, I learned just this morning of this powerful and insightful essay, written back in September, by Manfred Horst. Please do read the whole thing carefully; here, as teasers, are some slices: Perhaps we should consider it a privilege to live [in] one of the absurdest and grotesquest episodes of recent world history. Perhaps we should consider it a privilege to witness how easily scientific and democratic control mechanisms can be overwhelmed by a global panic disorder....

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More On the Risk of Dying from Covid (Which Is Falling)

In response to this Cafe Hayek post from earlier today on daily Covid-19 cases compared to daily Covid-19 deaths, Mark Perry sent the following. I share it here with Mark’s kind permission. Don: The accompanying chart is another way to view the same data that Vernon was showing but as “case fatality rates” (deaths/cases) for the world (2.2% and falling) and US (1.8% and falling). Vernon’s chart showed about 600,000 COVID cases and 2.2% of that would be about 13,200 deaths. Since the...

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Comparing Covid Cases to Covid Deaths

Here’s a letter to a reader of this blog: Mr. Horn: Thanks for your e-mail. You’re unhappy with my linking to a December 10th Facebook post by Nobel-laureate economist Vernon Smith – a post in which Vernon shares a graph, from Our World in Data, comparing the number of daily Covid-19 cases to the number of daily Covid-19 deaths. Observing that the former is magnitudes larger than the latter, Vernon comments in his post: “Cases, lots, deaths not.” About Vernon’s post, you object: “The...

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