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Tag Archives: Sunshine Profits

Biden Signs a Bill to Revive Infrastructure… and Gold!

Gold rallied thanks to the changed narrative on inflation, and Biden’s infrastructure plan can only add to the inflationary pressure. Huge price moves ahead? I have a short quiz for you! What the government should do to decrease inflation that reached the highest level in 30 years? A) Decrease its expenditure to make room for the Fed to hike the federal funds rate. B) Press the US central bank to tighten its monetary policy. C) Deregulate the markets and lower taxes to boost the supply side...

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Inflation Finally Meets Wall Street’s Ears! Is Gold Next?

At last, something is happening! Rising oil and gas prices sparked inflation worries among investors. However, gold hasn’t benefited so far… It took Wall Street a while to find out about inflation above 5%, but it seems that investors have finally noticed that we live now in a world of elevated inflation. I have always known that only the smartest minds work on Wall Street! So, right after they finally learned how to operate a computer and found the BLS website, they got scared and started...

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Weak August Payrolls: Why We Should Care

A disappointing nonfarm payrolls report came. If the Fed postpones the tapering announcement considerably, gold might be able to rally for longer. They say that September is a good time for gold. Indeed, historically, gold used to shine during the ninth month, and the yellow metal also started this year’s September on a good note. As the chart below shows, it jumped above $1,800 on the last day of August, and it has continued its rebound since then. So, what happened? Well, on Friday, the...

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Gold’s Behavior in Various Parallel Inflation Universes

The current high inflation could theoretically transform into hyperinflation, disinflation, stagflation, or deflation. What does each mean for gold? Inflation, inflation, inflation. We all know that prices have surged recently. And we all know that high inflation is likely to stay with us for a while, even if we assume that the CPI annual rate has already peaked, which is not so obvious. But let’s look beyond the nearest horizon and think about what lies ahead after months of high inflation,...

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Rising Cost Pressure – What Will Mr. Powell and Mr. Gold Do?

The latest IHS Markit Flash U.S. Composite PMI signals very fast economic expansion – but also strong inflationary pressure. Good news for gold, overall. On Friday, the recent IHS Markit Flash U.S. Composite PMI has been published . There are two pieces of news for gold – one good and one bad. Let’s start with the negative information. The report signals an unprecedentedly fast expansion in business activity in May. Indeed, the composite index surge from 63.5 in April to 68.1 this month...

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Gold Sings a “Hot N Cold” Song

Although spring has begun, we can still find ourselves in winter, or even summer. Gold may benefit from such a seasonal aberration. Oh, how wonderful, spring has finally started, hasn’t it? We have April, after all. Well, in calendar terms, it’s indeed spring, but economically it can be summer already or still the beginning of winter. How so? I refer here to Kondratiev cycles (also known as Kondratieff cycles or Kondratyev cycles). As a reminder, Nikolai Kondratiev was a Russian economist who...

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Will Powell Lull Gold Bulls to Sweet Sleep?

The Fed left its monetary policy unchanged. However, the lack of any action amid economic recovery is dovish – good news for gold. On Wednesday (Apr. 28), the FOMC has published its newest statement on monetary policy. The statement wasn’t significantly altered. The main change is that the Fed has noticed the progress on vaccinations and strong policy support, and that, in consequence, the economic outlook has improved. Previously, the US central bank said that indicators of economic activity...

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Will Euro and Gold Go Up With Pandemic Upturn in Euro Area?

The worst may already be behind the euro area’s economy. This bodes well – both the euro, as well as gold, can benefit from it. The Governing Council of the European Central Bank met last week, keeping its monetary policy unchanged. The inaction was widely expected – no surprises here. The June meeting could be much more interesting as the ECB will have to decide whether or not to slow its bond buying under the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme that was accelerated in the second quarter...

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Will a Fiscal Revolution Raise Gold to the Throne?

Revolution, baby! There is growing acceptance for an aggressive fiscal policy, which could be supportive for gold prices from the fundamental, long-term point of view. We live in turbulent times. The pandemic is still raging and will most likely have lost lasting effects on our society. But a revolution is also happening right before our eyes. And I don’t mean another storming of the U.S. Capitol or the clash of individual investors with big fish on Wall Street. I have in mind something less...

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Gold Under Fed’s New Monetary Regime

Did you believe that the monetary policy of Ben Bernanke in a response to the Great Recession was extraordinary? Nah, Bernanke was an amateur compared to Jerome Powell. The latter quickly reintroduced ZIRP, implemented unlimited quantitative easing, and provided bailouts to Wall Street – and now he risks higher inflation as a result. In August 2020, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered his Jackson Hole speech, unveiling a new monetary framework in the process. He announced a flexible...

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